23 October 2007

54 Weeks Out

The latest polling from Rasmussen, 54 weeks before Election Day:

Hillary Clinton 48%
Rudy Giuliani 41%

That's similar to the final tally for her husband's 1996 win against Bob Dole.

Hillary Clinton 52%
Fred Thompson 37%

That makes Reagan's 1980 rout of Jimmy Carter look like a squeaker!

Hillary Clinton 47%
Mitt Romney 41%

I'm surprised this one is as close as it is.

Hillary Clinton 44%
John McCain 43%

No surprise here, but if McCain is the GOP nominee then I have a hunch Clinton would open up a pretty comfortable lead. He is, after all, Bush's waterboy.

And, just for kicks....

Hillary Clinton 48%
Ron Paul 38%


At the state-by-state level, Clinton leads all three major Republican candidates by double-digit margins in Arkansas (her former home state), and by smaller margins in Virginia and Florida. She leads two of the three in Tennessee (Fred Thompson being from Tennessee, he leads all the Democrats there).

All in all, these numbers look pretty good for a candidate that many see as "polarizing."