20 February 2008

Make That Ten In a Row

And it wasn't even close:
Hawaii:
Obama 76%
Clinton 24%
How does the once-presumed front runner spin ten losses in a row (most by landslide proportions)? Truth is she really can't. David Kurtz, from Talking Points Memo:
First, despite polls showing a relatively close race, Obama looks likely to have a final winning margin in the double digits. In other words, not close at all. It's one thing to endure a month of losing, as the Hillary camp has steeled itself for, it's quite another to hold on through a series of landslide defeats, which is what they're facing now.

The other thing that doesn't bode well for her is that the electorate isn't remaining static. It's moving, and the exit polls suggest it's moving toward Obama. Last week, Obama made gains among white voters and women in Virginia and Maryland. Today, the exit polls show him eroding her core constituencies further: he almost won among women and won among middle-aged voters, among lower-income voters, and among union households.

If you're a Hillary supporter, there's not much in the Wisconsin results to raise your spirits.
As things stand right now, the mountain to the Democratic nomination is almost insurmountable for Sen. Clinton. I won't count her out (we all know what fighters the Clintons are), but Sen. Obama has cakewalked to ten tremendous victories in a row, with many of those wins coming in places where Clinton thought she would do well. Wisconsin was supposed to be a pro-Clinton state. How then do you explain away a 17-point loss there? The answer is you don't, other than to say you had your ass handed to you.

Food for thought from a diarist over at DailyKos:
If Obama had lost ten straight contests, the Clinton campaign and/or its surrogates would be calling for him to "step down" for the "good of the party." They would want the Democratic Party to "coalesce" around its "obvious frontrunner."
Hillary should step down at this point. The debate and the nominating process have been extremely exciting, but the Republicans have their nominee and they have begun campaigning for the general election in November. As experience has taught us, the longer the Democrats wait to join that debate, the longer their odds of winning the White House.

If Sen. Clinton really believes what she has been saying during this campaign - that it's time to clean up the Bush mess, that she'll support whoever the Democratic nominee is - then she should face the facts: In order to win the delegates she needs to win this nomination, she would need to win between 62% and 70% of the popular vote in Ohio, Pennsylvania, and Texas. And from the vantage point of mid-February, with all of Obama's landslide wins fresh in our minds, that seems like an order too tall for even the Clintons.