A Poll and A Map

A new poll by the Associated Press and Ipsos Public Affairs shows Barack Obama leading John McCain by six points among registered voters:

Obama 47%
McCain 41%

Key take aways: Obama runs even with McCain among men, leads by 13 points among women, by 30 points among voters between 18 and 34, and by a whopping 55 points among blacks, Hispanics and other minorities.

Based on this poll and other current state-by-state polling, here is where I see the electoral map as of today...


Obama 325
McCain 213

The race seems pretty static right now, and we're bound to see little movement during the Olympic Games. But as we get towards the end of the month, when the V.P. picks are named and the party conventions take place, Americans will be paying more attention to the election. My hunch is they'll see McCain as another take on Bush and Obama's lead will solidify.

Hey...I said it was a hunch.