19 December 2007

See-Saw In Iowa

Two new polls show two different findings in Iowa...

Washington Post/ABC News:
Barack Obama 33%
Hillary Clinton 29%
John Edwards 20%
Bill Richardson 8%
Joe Biden 4%
Insider Advantage:
John Edwards 30%
Hillary Clinton 26%
Barack Obama 24%
These contradictory results say alot about how hard it is to poll a caucus (as opposed to an election). It would do everyone well to remember that just before the 2004 Iowa caucus, the two front runners in polling were Howard Dean and Richard Gephardt. The two pulling up the rear with single digit support? Two men named Kerry and Edwards.

Biden/Obama in 2008? Anyone? Bueller?