10 January 2008

South Carolina Poll

A new Insider Advantage poll of South Carolina Democrats shows Barack Obama leading Hillary Clinton 40% to 33%, with "native son" John Edwards pulling 15%.

We all know how bad the polling was in New Hampshire, so take these numbers with a grain of salt. However, remember that half of the state's Democratic voters are African American. After Obama's win in Iowa last week, the conventional wisdom was that black voters saw him as a guy who is viable. The question now is, after his loss in New Hampshire, will they be comfortable enough to give him their vote.

We'll see.