Obama 51%It's been said that if Obama wins Virginia on Election Night then John McCain's path to 270 electoral votes becomes almost impossible. Yes...but there are scenarios where McCain could win without Virigina, although each scenario is pretty far-fetched. But...
McCain 39%
...if Obama beats McCain by 12-points in Virginia (a state that has gone Republican for president in every election from 1968 to 2004), then you can bet the Democratic ticket will coast to a national victory pretty easily on November 4th.
The Suffolk poll isn't necessarily an outlier. Two additional polls, done over the past week, show Obama with similar leads:
SurveyUSA:We're still 29 days out, and things will more than likely tighten up as we approach Election Day. But these polling numbers leave me very optimistic.
Obama 53%
McCain 43%
CNN/Time:
Obama 53%
McCain 43%
